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Hawk’s 2014 Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes/Chelmsford Stakes Day Analysis and Selections

September 6, 2014

The Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes meeting, which used to be run next week, has switched with the Makybe Diva Stakes meeting. So next week, instead, we are off to Flemington.

The changing of the schedule may have impacted on some races at Moonee Valley, but we still get a cracking day, featuring the return of Lankan Rupee.

I’ve written a short summary of the five Group 2 races, as well as providing my selections for all Moonee Valley and Randwick races today.

Hopefully we can get a winner as the spring starts to heat up.

Good luck today!

MOONEE VALLEY

Race 1 – 1PRINT CRAIG OPIE CUP (2500m)

7 – COUNT ENCOSTA
1 – HIPPOPUS
2 – UNCHAIN MY HEART
8 – MR ANDRE

Race 2 – QUEST MOONEE VALLEY HANDICAP (1600m)

4 – ALIYANA
1 – TEXT ‘N’ HURLEY
2 – RECKLESS ASSASSIN
6 – RESUMETHEGAME

Race 3 – CITY JEEP HANDICAP (1500m)

8 – THE SPITFIRE
6 – BREATH OF LIFE
10 – SECOND BASE
2 – CAVEKA

Race 4 – JEEP DON’T HOLD BACK HANDICAP (2040m)

4 – WROTHAM HEATH
6 – VINTAGE LAD
9 – LIKE A CAROUSEL
13 – WARWARICK

Race 5 – GROUP 2 MCEWEN STAKES (1000m)

No surprises that it’s all LANKAN RUPEE here, Australia’s best sprinter meeting a field which doesn’t look to be in the same league.

CAUTHEN is a horse going places, but most likely will need the run, while ANGELIC LIGHT is second-up after a nasty injury break. They are probably the main players to fill the placings, although ELOPING and UNPRETENTIOUS may not be far away, but it will be a chance to see Lankan Rupee in full flight.

1 – LANKAN RUPEE
6 – CAUTHEN
7 – ANGELIC LIGHT
9 – ELOPING

Race 6 – TELSTRA PHONEWORDS PLATE (1200m)

10 – PICKIN’ TIME
13 – PITTSBURGH FLYER
5 – TAWTEEN
1 – LONDON LOLLY

Race 7 – GROUP 2 DATO TAN CHIN NAM STAKES (1600m)

One of the weaker Datos in recent times, but also one which is quite fascinating.

THE CLEANER is probably my favourite horse in training at the moment. A bold frontrunner from a modest background, he has been carrying big weights and winning by simply nullifying the sprint of his rivals. He harks back to the days of Vo Rogue, the Queensland battler who rose to the highest levels with a similar pace-setting style. I’m not sure he has the class of Vo Rogue, but he doesn’t need to either to win this race. I think they will all be off the bit chasing, and I hope they struggle to catch him. Would be a great addition to the Cox Plate in my opinion, so I hope he can earn his berth with victory today.

LIDARI was beaten a head in this race last year behind Fiorente and Spacecraft. He’s since won the Blamey Stakes but has been slightly disappointing in five other efforts. He does go well second-up and he maps to get a good run here, so he may be the one claiming The Cleaner – if one can get past him.

FOUNDRY was great in his first Australian campaign, but was nothing but a failure in his first-up effort when he looked in need of the run. It may pay to forgive that effort and improvement wouldn’t shock.

Next best FORETELLER, who maps awkwardly but does look the class of the field, and STAR ROLLING.

4 – THE CLEANER
7 – LIDARI
11 – FOUNDRY
1 – FORETELLER

Race 8 – SPORTINGBET HANDICAP (1600m)

10 – ST JEAN
1 – OUR VOODOO PRINCE
11 – FIRST COURSE
4 – HENWOOD

Race 9 – LISTED DRUMMOND GOLF STAKES (1200m)

9 – LION OF BELFORT
13 – TRUST IN A GUST
3 – ATLANTE
1 – LE BONSIR

RANDWICK

Race 1 – TAB EARLY QUADDIE HANDICAP (1600m)

3 – DEVONSHIRE DUKE
4 – FOREIGN PRINCE
8 – HUNTER JACK
5 – WHISPEROSSA

Race 2 – NATIONAL JOCKEYS TRUST HANDICAP (2000m)

2 – SURPASS
6 – WORLD WIDE
9 – MR SCARY
7 – SLIVOVITZ

Race 3 – GROUP 2 FURIOUS STAKES (1200m)

A small field made even smaller still by the wet track.

I was very close to putting ATC Sires Produce Stakes winner PEGGY JEAN on top of Blue Diamond Stakes winner EARTHQUAKE, but in the end class should prevail here – even if the former may be better in the conditions.

MEMORIAL ran a cracker first up when second in the Silver Shadow behind Bring Me The Maid, and with race fitness on her side she looks the only horse capable of bringing the two Group 1 winners apart.

Next best SULTRY FEELING.

1 – EARTHQUAKE
2 – PEGGY JEAN
3 – MEMORIAL
6 – SULTRY FEELING

Race 4 – GROUP 3 MING DYNASTY QUALITY (1400m)

2 – WASHINGTON HEIGHTS
10 – TASHBEEH
3 – PANZER DIVISION
6 – LADY SHARAPOVA

Race 5 – GROUP 2 CHELMSFORD STAKES (1600m)

Happy to somewhat risk ENTIRELY PLATINUM, who won a no metro win race on a heavy track but probably wasn’t at his best when finishing fourth on the surface in the Neville Sellwood Stakes in April. He could have been at the end of his preparation or he just didn’t handle the track. Either way, at weight-for-age, I’d prefer to stick with others.

Looking at the race beyond the Hawkes-trained runner leaves seven others, six trained by Chris Waller. Of his, the two that stand out are ROYAL DESCENT and SACRED FALLS. And it looks the chance for last year’s ATC Oaks winner Royal Descent to break through.

The mare has not won since her Oaks triumph but has been consistent, only really running poorly on two occasions. This looks the perfect race for her at this stage of her preparation on the wet track.

Sacred Falls has won two Doncasters on heavy tracks over this course and distance so obviously one must be wary. However, I think he may need one more run to get him to peak fitness, and the George Main Stakes looks a perfect race for him.

Splitting them for mine is CRITERION, the ATC Derby and Rosehill Guineas winner who ran a terrific race fresh. He clearly likes the wet and looks to be ready to produce again.

Entirely Platinum can go in for fourth, while next best is MORIARTY, who was good fresh.

9 – ROYAL DESCENT
8 – CRITERION
1 – SACRED FALLS
7 – ENTIRELY PLATINUM

Race 6 – GROUP 3 CONCORDE STAKES (1000m)

7 – DIDNTCOSTALOT
3 – RAIN AFFAIR
10 – ATMOSPHERICAL
8 – TARGET IN SIGHT

Race 7 – GROUP 2 TRAMWAY STAKES (1400m)

Probably the race of the day for mine, with an open field and plenty of queries.

TIGER TEES will be up on speed and in the mud, he will once again prove hard to beat, but I think LUCIA VALENTINA can cause a minor shock to win fresh.

Her win in the Vinery Stud Stakes and third in the ATC Oaks were both outstanding and she shaped as the filly to follow from the classics. She will obviously appreciate further but fresh, she can be running over the top of them late.

HOOKED and WEARY were both solid first up and both should appreciate the wet.

10 – LUCIA VALENTINA
1 – TIGER TEES
14 – HOOKED
6 – WEARY

Race 8 – TAB REWARDS HANDICAP (1400m)

9 – CORRYVRECKAN
1 – ROCK STURDY
14 – SPY DECODER
4 – SUPREME WARRIOR

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