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Hawk’s Saturday Selections: 2013 Caulfield Cup Day

October 19, 2013

The next 16 days – well, the next three weeks, but in particular the next 16 days – are all about racing. The period from the Caulfield Cup to the Melbourne Cup is exciting and intense for racing followers.

Who knows what the next 16 days will bring, but it’s sure to be entertaining. Bring it on!

For today’s Caulfield Cup meeting, I’ve previewed the quaddie legs, including our monster runner-by-runner preview of the Caulfield Cup.

Best of luck!

Race 1 – SUNRISE CUP (1400m)

3 – SCARLET BILLOWS
7 – SUAVITO
8 – PATRICIA DAWN
4 – TANGO’S DAUGHTER

Race 2 – LISTED GOTHIC STAKES (1400m)

5 – HAVANA
6 – HUCKLEBUCK
4 – TRUST IN A GUST
1 – PAXIMADIA

Race 3 – LISTED ETHEREAL STAKES (2000m)

7 – FANTOME GRIS
10 – AKAGERA
2 – ARABIAN GOLD
4 – STAR FASHION

Race 4 – GROUP 3 NORMAN ROBINSON STAKES (2000m)

10 – CADILLAC MOUNTAIN
4 – SAN DIEGO
13 – LE RASOIR
12 – LASCAR

Race 5 – LISTED ALINGHI STAKES (1100m)

6 – SHE CAN SKATE
1 – LOHNSPRESSO
15 – LADY SEARCY
4 – AVOID LIGHTNING

Race 6 – GROUP 3 MOONGA STAKES (1400m)

7 – CONSERVATORIUM
5 – SHEER TALENT
10 – TAXMEIFYOUCAN
1 – BOBAN

Race 7 – GROUP 2 CAULFIELD SPRINT (1100m)

A very good handicap, with some proven Group horses at the top of the weights and some emerging types down at the bottom.

EL MAGICO is a lightly raced galloper who has won five from seven. His form suggests he’s had a few issues, but at his best he’s very promising. Adelaide form tends to hold up at this time of year, and I’m expecting him to go very close.

CHIARAMONTE shocked when he won the Darby Munro at Rosehill earlier this year. This preparation, though, he’s been very good and he’ll be well found today. He was run down by Samaready two starts back, who then went on to win the Moir Stakes in a canter, before being picked up late by It Is Written and Richie’s Vibe. He’s primed to run a big race today.

PAGO ROCK was good last weekend in what was admittedly a weak Schillaci Stakes. He raced past Unpretentious, only for that galloper to come back and win. His 1100m record is outstanding and he flies around Caulfield. He’ll be right up there.

Next best is SHAMAL WIND, who is stamping herself as an enigmatic galloper. It appears as though she struggles to carry weight, being such a lightly framed mare, so the drop from 58kg to 53kg should suit her well.

10 – EL MAGICO
11 – CHIARAMONTE
7 – PAGO ROCK
9 – SHAMAL WIND

Race 8 – GROUP 3 DAVID JONES CUP (2000m)

This has been a race which has been known to produce gallopers who go on to bigger and better things. Foreteller won this in 2011, he’s now won two Group 1 races this year. Maybe Better won in 2006, two starts later he finished third in the Melbourne Cup. Who knows what this year’s group have ahead of them.

BASS STRAIT is a highly promising galloper who is finally starting to understand what it means to be a racehorse. David Hayes chanced his arm last weekend, dropping Bass Strait back in distance to run in the Toorak Handicap in the hope of securing a Caulfield Cup berth. He finished midfield in what was a fairly good run, considering the circumstances. Up to 2000m should suit perfectly and he’s the one to beat for mine.

HONORIUS comes into this having beaten likely Cox Plate runner Masked Marvel last start. The 2000m looks to be his best distance and I think he’s been somewhat overlooked, surprisingly.

SPURTONIC was close up in the Epsom Handicap and did win over 2000m earlier this preparation. He keeps stepping up, so it is hard to know how good he may be.

And SCREAM MACHINE also comes from the Epsom, having flashed home from last to run ninth. He’s won three races at 2000m, the best of them the Wagga Cup earlier this year. If he runs to his best he can win this.

Next best HURDY GURDY MAN.

6 – BASS STRAIT
1 – HONORIUS
5 – SPURTONIC
4 – SCREAM MACHINE

Race 9 – GROUP 2 TRISTARC STAKES (1400m)

This is one of the most impossible races to figure out, and I must admit I have minimal confidence about my tips.

I’ve gone for MOLTO BENE after her stunning effort coming from last at Flemington two weeks ago. This is far tougher but a repeat of that performance will have her going close, and by Race 9, they should be swooping at Caulfield.

PERON did a mountain of work last start and was only just nabbed late by FIRE UP FIFI. It was a phenomenal effort, but on ratings, she still has a bit to find. But anyone who has seen her race knows she has the potential to be anything, so it wouldn’t surprise to see her win today. The market clearly thinks she’s a big chance.

At big odds, MYBENZ is capable of surprising. She won over this track and distance two back in convincing style, before a tidy effort at Flemington last start. Back to Caulfield should suit, and I think she’s capable of surprising a few at odds.

Next best XANADU, who beat King Mufhasa easily last start, and RED TRACER, but it really is an impossible race to figure out.

12 – MOLTO BENE
14 – PERON
19 – MYBENZ
2 – XANADU

Race 10 – GROUP 1 CAULFIELD CUP (2400m)

Click here to read my runner-by-runner Caulfield Cup preview.

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