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10 horses to follow this spring – a follow up

October 10, 2012

At the start of August, I gave my 10 horses to follow for the spring on sports blogging website The Roar. Click here to read the original article.

The horses were Atlantic Jewel, Pierro, All Too Hard, Voila Ici, Lucas Cranach, Nechita, Mount Athos, Polish Knight, Didntcostalot and Dundeel (now It’s A Dundeel).

This was before any of them made their seasonal debut, and I think it is interesting to now look at where they are as we head towards the deep end of the spring.

Sadly, Atlantic Jewel and Lucas Cranach were both ruled out through injury before making it to the track. Hopefully we’ll see them back in the autumn.

On Saturday, Polish Knight joined the casualty list when he bled and incurred a three month ban from racing. However, he wasn’t going well regardless. Hopefully he can return a better horse in the autumn.

Import Voila Ici has had three runs in Australia, all of them pretty good efforts. He ran sixth first up in the Memsie Stakes before a brilliant second in the Underwood Stakes. He was good again last Saturday, finishing fourth in the Turnbull after playing up before the race, and he’ll be spot on for the Caulfield Cup.

Didntcostalot was the rags to riches story of my selections, and he’s still got plenty of improvement left. He won very well first up in a restricted race at Sandown before having absolutely no luck at Moonee Valley. He steps out in a very strong Schillaci Stakes this weekend, before heading back to Moonee Valley. However, I believe the race where he’ll be something to beat is when he steps out down the straight in a Listed 1000m handicap on Oaks Day.

Of the four three year olds, three have had some success.

Pierro has won the Run to the Rose and the Bill Stutt Stakes. He is set to start at prohibitive odds in the Caulfield Guineas this weekend before aiming at the Cox Plate, where he is the current favourite.

Nechita looked like a superstar after her first up win in the Silver Shadow Stakes but then failed in the Golden Rose behind Epaulette. She is being freshened for a tilt at the Coolmore Stud Stakes on Derby Day.

It’s A Dundeel has arguably been the best inclusion in this list. After winning first up at Wyong, paying a juicy $9, he won another restricted race at Canterbury before winning the Gloaming Stakes and the Spring Champion Stakes. If you’ve followed any horse from this list, I hope it was him.

The disappointment has been All Too Hard. While he hasn’t run overly poorly, he’s still performed below expectations. He is set to start in the Caulfield Guineas this weekend after finishing third in the San Domenico Stakes, fifth in the Run to the Rose and fourth in the George Main Stakes. Perhaps he may be better the Melbourne way of going, but still, he hasn’t lived up to the hype.

The last is reigning Melbourne Cup favourite Mount Athos. At the time of the original article being written, he was a $26 chance for the Melbourne Cup. He’s now a $10 favourite, so hopefully some of you jumped on. I’ve been convinced he would be a perfect Melbourne Cup horse since May, so I’m glad to see him at the top of the market. He won’t race in Australia until Melbourne Cup day, so perhaps he won’t get much shorter than his current quote.

Hopefully there is still success for our ten horses to follow – even if they’ve been whittled down to seven!

One Comment leave one →
  1. October 10, 2012 11:06 am

    great stuff Hawk. You nailed most.

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